Sweden remains the best third-placed team in the World Cup after two matches.
What has happened?
Sweden is third in its group with three points and a goal difference of plus/minus zero.
What are the prospects?
Norwegian VG, in collaboration with the research foundation Norsk Regnesentral, has calculated the probability of advancement for all teams. According to VG's data, Sweden currently has a 93% chance of advancing to the knockout stage.
Table of third-placed teams
| Team | Points | Goal difference |
|---|---|---|
| Sweden | 3 | 0 |
| Scotland | 3 | 0 |
| Croatia | 3 | -1 |
| Algeria | 3 | -2 |
| Paraguay | 3 | -2 |
| Cape Verde | 2 | 0 |
| Belgium | 2 | 0 |
| Czech Republic | 1 | -1 |
Sweden also has a chance to finish second or even first in the group. To finish second, a win against Japan is required, and to finish first, a win and a Tunisian upset against the Netherlands are required.
Upcoming matches
SVT will broadcast Sweden's final group stage match against Japan, with a kick-off at 01.00 on Friday. Sweden has a recent form of 4W-0D-1L, with the last match ending 4-3 against Algeria on June 10, 2025.
Sweden Hub