Sweden has secured a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup after winning against Tunisia. This means that Sweden will face one of the group winners in the next round.

Who are Sweden's potential opponents?

Sweden can face either France, Germany, or Switzerland in the Round of 16. According to Expressen's calculations, there are 51 different outcomes for the group third-place teams, making the calculation complex.

Probability of each opponent

A) Group winner France or Norway in New Jersey on June 30 at 23:00 (Swedish time). The outcome is found in 49 different combinations. Probability: 96% chance. B) Group winner Germany in Foxborough on June 29 at 22:30 (Swedish time). The outcome is found in a unique combination. Probability: 2% chance. C) Group winner Switzerland in Vancouver on July 3 at 05:00 (Swedish time). The outcome is found in 1 combination. Probability: 2% chance.

Remaining matches in the World Cup

DateMatchTime
Friday, June 26Norway–France21.00
Friday, June 26Senegal–Iraq21.00
Saturday, June 27Cape Verde–Saudi Arabia02.00
Saturday, June 27Uruguay–Spain02.00

Sweden has a strong form with four wins in their last five matches. Last result: Sweden 4-3 Algeria (2025-06-10). Sweden is on a four-match winning streak.

Recent form: 4W-0D-1L (WWWWL, most recent first). As of June 27, 2026, Sweden is waiting for the outcome of the remaining group stage matches to determine their opponent in the Round of 16.