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The Swedish national team is on the verge of a decisive match against Japan in the 2026 World Cup. With a draw, Sweden will advance to the knockout stage.
What happens if Sweden draws against Japan?
If Sweden ties with Japan tonight and the result is a draw, Japan will end up with five points, while Sweden will have to settle for four points and a goal difference of zero.
Sweden has a recent form of 4W-0D-1L, with a four-match winning streak. Their last result was a 4-3 win against Algeria on June 10, 2025.
Best group thirds in the World Cup
The teams with the most points, best goal difference, most goals scored, fewest yellow and red cards, and FIFA world ranking will advance to the knockout stage as group thirds.
| Stat | Value |
|---|---|
| Recent form | 4W-0D-1L |
| Last result | 4-3 against Algeria |
| Date | June 10, 2025 |
Who can Sweden face in the knockout stage?
If Sweden draws with Japan tonight and four points are enough to be one of the eight best group thirds, which is likely, the Swedish opponent in the round of 16 will be determined by a complex mathematical formula.
According to the Norwegian newspaper VG's data model, it is highly likely that the winner of group I will be Sweden's opponent in the round of 16 if they draw with Japan. The model calculates that Sweden will face France in 55.8% of the cases and Norway in 18.1%.
